Nvidia Stock Is Poised to Be a Big Winner from Humanoid Robots, Which Are Coming Faster Than Many People Probably Realize


Humanoid robots are artificial intelligence (AI)-powered machines that physically resemble humans and can emulate human movements and communication. While many of us can still only dream of having a humanoid maid like Rosie from the futuristic world Jetsons Cartoon, helpful humanoid robots will be here sooner than many people think.

This is the opinion of NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang, who led the company he co-founded in 1993 into the world’s second-largest company by market capitalization (behind Applebut not by much).

Earlier this month, Huang gave the keynote speech to kick off the Consumer Electronic Show (CES) 2025 and co-hosted a CES financial analyst conference. One of the most exciting things for Nvidia stock investors he said was this comment: “In less than 10 years, I’m sure humanoid robots will surprise everyone.” [with] “How good they are.”

Silver humanoid robot walking between rows of servers in a data center.
Image source: Getty Images.

The 2024 global humanoid robots market was worth between $1 billion and $2.5 billion in 2024, according to most estimates. Currently, the market is largely made up of research and development of hardware and software for humanoid robots. Some companies are in the early stages of using humanoids internally, but as far as I know, no company has yet offered a humanoid robot (or “general purpose robot”) for sale to the public, at least not in the United States. . .

Market growth projections from reputable sources are almost universally very optimistic and have recently increased significantly with the rapid advancements in AI, i.e. the advent of generative AI. Generative AI, which greatly augments AI use cases, burst onto the tech scene in late 2022 with OpenAI’s launch of its ChatGPT chatbot.

“The total addressable market for humanoid robots is projected to reach $38 billion by 2035, more than six times larger than a previous projection of $6 billion.” Goldman Sachs he wrote in a report from early 2024. His previous projection was just a year ahead! This is Goldman’s “base case” model, which estimates unit shipments of 1.4 million by 2035. Along with accelerating progress in AI, the firm also cited investment in the sector growing faster than had anticipated as a factor for its huge upward revision.

The company’s “bull case” projects that humanoid robot shipments will reach 1 million units by 2031, four years ahead of its previous expectation of 2035. And it has a “blue sky” scenario that is even more optimistic.

Note that the Goldman report I’m citing is from early 2024. The firm seems likely to release another report soon, and its market size projection for the base case appears to be about to be revised upward from $38 billion. by 2035.

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