Is investing ,000 in the S&P 500 today a sure-fire way to reach  million before retirement?


Invest in the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) It has historically been a great way for someone to grow their wealth. As a benchmark for the broader market, the index tracks 500 of the largest and most successful American companies.

While you cannot invest directly in the S&P 500, a series of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) track the index at low cost. And since these ETFs spread your money across hundreds of stocks, a bet on the S&P 500 can be a lower-risk way to invest in the stock market than picking individual stocks.

It may not always be possible to place a large lump sum into the stock market. However, if you receive an inheritance or profit from the sale of a home, you may be able to make a sizable investment, even if you haven’t built up a significant amount of savings.

Next, I’ll look at whether investing $50,000 in an S&P 500 index fund can pave the way for you to have $1 million by retirement, a goal many people have to live comfortably in their golden years.

For almost a century, the S&P 500’s compound annual return, including dividends, is 10.1%. But over the past 10 years, the index’s return has been an even more impressive 13.7%. While this is great news for investors who have invested during that time, the outlook for the next decade may not be so rosy.

Goldman Sachs Analysts, for example, project that the S&P 500 could generate only a 3% average annual return over the next 10 years due to high valuations and the resulting concentration of value in the index’s largest holdings. JPMorgan Analysts believe the index will generate an annual return of just 6% over the next decade.

Simply put, investing in the index today could mean significantly lower returns than investors have become accustomed to in recent history.

^SPX Chart
YCharts data.

But for someone early or mid-career, investing your retirement savings means thinking beyond the next decade. Therefore, even if the next five or ten years of index returns are relatively weak, the S&P 500 could still make up for those slow years with better returns in the future. There are too many factors that could influence the markets, making it almost impossible to predict exactly what the market will do many years from now.

Instead of trying to guess exactly what the S&P 500’s annual returns will be over the next decade and beyond, the table below illustrates what a $50,000 investment could be worth under different scenarios.

By Admin

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